Three Days in April

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Authors: Edward Ashton
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With twelve percent survivors?”
    â€œBest estimate is that if this breaks out, a fifty percent death rate would be sufficient for a national soft kill.”
    â€œWe don’t even know that this is contagious.”
    â€œWe don’t know that it’s not.”
    Fenrir:
    Angry Irish Inch:
    Argyle Dragon:
    Hayley 9000:
    Sir Munchalot:
    I blink my windows closed, and start down the stairs.
    A nders looks up when I step into the room. He’s on the sofa with Terry, arms around her shoulders. Her face is buried in his chest. Huh. Would not have called that.
    â€œWell?” he says.
    â€œPretty grim,” I reply, and drop into a recliner. “Survivorship is under fifteen percent, mostly kids.”
    Terry looks up at that. Her face is still screwed up in a half sob, which when you throw in the brow ridge and the gob of snot coming out of her left nostril, is pretty much a horror show in and of itself.
    â€œSurvivors?” Terry says. “The wallscreen said there were no survivors.”
    I shrug.
    â€œWell, I’m guessing that’ll be true pretty soon. Sounds like they’re planning on a burn-­down.”
    She wipes her nose with her arm, which just smears things around. I toss her a screen rag from the cargo slot in the recliner’s arm. She catches it, wipes down her face and arm, and winds up to throw it back. I hold up one hand.
    â€œKeep it,” I say. “Please.”
    She half smiles her thanks.
    â€œI don’t understand,” she says. “What’s a burn-­down?”
    She looks weirdly hopeful now. Maybe ‘burn’ didn’t mean what it does now, before she got frozen in a glacier or whatever.
    â€œI’m not exactly sure,” I say. I glance over at Anders. He’s glaring at me for some reason. “I guess they could use a nuke, but considering we’re basically downwind, I hope not. More likely an FAE.”
    â€œThat’s enough,” says Anders. His head looks like it’s about to explode.
    â€œAn FAE?” Terry says.
    â€œRight,” I say. “Fuel-­air explosive. The poor-­man’s nuke. Most of the boom, with none of the fallout.”
    â€œShut up,” says Anders.
    â€œYou said there were survivors,” says Terry. “They wouldn’t do that if there were ­people still alive in there, would they?”
    â€œ Au contraire —­”
    â€œI said shut up,” Anders growls.
    â€œNo, Anders,” says Terry. “You shut up. I’m not your fucking damsel in distress. I want to hear what he has to say.”
    I’m about to go on, but just then some administration tool comes on the wallscreen and starts talking about sterilization. We all listen to his spiel in silence.
    â€œYou see?” I say when he’s done, and they cut back to the studio mannequin. “Burn-­down. They’re gonna turn that entire place into a smoking hole in the ground. Only way to guarantee containment.”
    Terry’s crying again.
    â€œMy sister is in there,” she sobs.
    I shake my head.
    â€œProbably not. The estimate I heard, which came from an unnamed but reliable source, was twelve percent survivors with eighty percent of those, children. That puts the adult survival rate at two-­point-­four percent.”
    I stop and think for a minute.
    â€œWait. No, it doesn’t. That’s not factoring in the preexisting demographics. Say kids under 18 make up thirty percent of the original population. If your overall survival is twelve percent, and eighty percent of those are children, that makes the survival rate for children . . . thirty percent . . . and for adults about four-­point-­three.”
    That gets us

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