Lone Survivors

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Authors: Chris Stringer
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significant application of these emerging techniques (thermoluminescence applied to flints that had been heated in a hearth) came from French–Israeli collaborations and initially seemed to reinforce the expected pattern in the Middle East, dating the recently discovered Neanderthal burial at Kebara to about 60,000 years. However, shortly afterward in 1988, the first application was made to the site of the Qafzeh early modern material, giving an astonishing age estimate of about 90,000 years, more than twice the generally expected figure, supporting or even exceeding the relative dating suggested by the rodents! Next up were the Skhul and Tabun sites, and for these I started working with dating specialists like Rainer Grün and Henry Schwarcz. Henry, a Canadian, is the doyen of dating in this time range, and Rainer, a German now working in Canberra, had studied and worked with him. Analyzing samples of animal teeth from both the sites for ESR dating gave equally revealing results. Within three years we had shown that the Skhul early moderns were at least as old as the Qafzeh ones, while the deep Tabun Cave sequence covered hundreds of thousands rather than tens of thousands of years. We also suggested that the Neanderthal burial from Tabun was much older than the 40,000-year radiocarbon date: it was perhaps as old as the moderns from Skhul and Qafzeh.
    There was obviously a much more complex sequence than any of us had envisaged, and in some ways the expected chain of events was turned on its head: the modern-looking people from Skhul and Qafzeh were older than the Kebara Neanderthal. Further work showed that they were also older than the Amud Neanderthal. Thus they could not have evolved from these late Neanderthals, and, puzzlingly, those late Neanderthals were in the Middle East after the early modern humans, and not before them. Continuing dating work using all the available techniques now suggests that the Skhul and Qafzeh people actually range from about 90,000 to 120,000 years old, while the Tabun Neanderthal is most likely about 120,000 years old. So the emerging scenario is one where populations apparently ebbed and flowed in the region, which makes sense given its geographic position between the evolving worlds of the Neanderthals to the north and early moderns to the south.
    Bar-Yosef suggested that the moderns came up into the region during a particularly warm and wet period, about 120,000 years ago, but as the succeeding Ice Age cooled and dried the north, the Neanderthals were pushed down there and took over the region—an intriguing reversal of the usual Replacement model! In fact, I think such changes could have been long-standing and even more complex, going back deep into the evolutionary history of the two species. At times when conditions were favorable, one or the other group, or perhaps both, would have moved into the region, while at times of severe aridity it might even have been completely abandoned. Whether populations were generally pushed there by unfavorable conditions in their home territories, or were pulled there by climatic ameliorations leading to population expansions, we do not yet know, but new climatic data are emerging.
    The potential of ESR to match the ability of AMS radiocarbon in directly dating human fossils is at last being realized. In 1996 the first of an increasing number of applications of this technique to significant human fossils was made when Rainer Grün and I collaborated with colleagues including James Brink from South Africa to date the Florisbad human skull. This fossil, which had been found in 1932, is actually rather incomplete but seems to combine a large and fairly modern-looking face with a strong brow ridge and somewhat receding forehead. For many years it was assumed to date from about 40,000 years ago, based on a radiocarbon date from peat deposits at the site, and on that basis it seemed to be a relic hanging on in the margins of southern Africa,

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